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Old 04-07-2007, 04:13 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,226
Default 4/7: 'First Saturday in April'

AQUEDUCT (6th-11th)


6th: Pleasant Colony, 4+, 14f (P6, P3)

1. #1e Contessa entry 6-5: Both ends of entry eligible WON/3rd
2. #6 SCRATCH
A. #7 Monopoly Pricing 2-1: Ignore incident last; Violette says he's A-OK 2nd
B. #1 Delta Sea 6-1: Places in marathons

EX: $2.75


7th: 47th Bay Shore (Gr. III), 3yo, 7f ($400k P4, DD)

1. #1 Les Grands Trois 1-1: Bobby unloads serious Live Oak runner 3rd
2. #5 Bill Place 3-1: A. Dutrow stakes winner rested, bulleting WON
3. #4 Hobbitontherocks 6-1: Respect Preciado; is lone winner at trip 2nd

EX: $28.75
TRI: $52.50



8th: 83rd Wood Memorial (Gr. I), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

1. #1a Any Given Saturday 8-5: Courageous TB Derby runner-up should make the most of this opportunity; classy animal 3rd
2. #5 Summer Doldrums 5-1: Best Violette-Klarman Derby candidate since Read the Footnotes sitting on a plus effort 4th
A. #2 Nobiz Like Shobiz 7-5: Have maintained talented Tagg runner was problematic since Holy Bull; must prove otherwise WON
B. #6 Reptilian Smarts 15-1: Snake in the grass from Ritvo progressing like a nice horse; should love added ground


9th: 107th Carter Handicap (Gr. I), 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

1. #4 Silver Wagon 5-2: Multiple stakes winner runs well fresh; owns AQU win WON
2. #5 Diabolical 6-1: Square number on Klesaris who's good 2nd off break 2nd
A. #3 Ah Day 8-1: Leatherbury gelding sharp 6 months; hasn't missed EXA in 3 tries 7f 3rd
B. #6 Latent Heat 9-5: Frankel Gr. I winner will be overbet; likes trip 4th


EX: $16.10
TRI: $67.00



10th: 95th Excelsior BCH (Gr. III), 3+, 9f (DD)

1. #4 Magna Graduate 2-1: Return to anything near Queens Cty win earns honors WON
2. #3 Naughty New Yorker 12-1: One of our faves pointed here by Kelly; flies late 2nd
3. #1 Corinthian 8-5: 3rd/layoff for J. Jerkens; got diploma this strip but needs best yet

EX: $46.50


11th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (Superfecta)

1. #6 It's All Good 7-2: Dutrow Wheelaway red adds Talamo
2. #1 Timirene 3-1: Contessa miss bumped early, came running in debut
A. #2 Golden Manna 5-1: Barker babe keeps earning checks while falling short
B. #8 Automatic Appeal 5-2: Nicely bred Tullock gal keep CC, moves outside for 2nd start WON

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #3 Never Settle 20-1: Away since 6/06 and now with 'betting barn'

2nd
<$50 Guaranteed ($400k) P4 Play:

7: 1-5
8: 1a-2
9: 3-4-5-6
10: 1-3-4

2x2x4x3 = $48

P4 pays $88.25


<$100 P6 Play:

6: 1e-6-scr
7: 1e-5
8: 1a-2
9: 4-5
10: 1-4
11: 3-6-8

1x2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x $2 = $96 (after scratch of #6 in 6th)

P6 pays $852.00..
Consos $21.40 (x6 = $128.40)



HAWTHORNE


7th: 50th Illinois Derby (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f (.10 Super)

1. #5 Cobalt Blue 9-5: Classy O'Neill colt seeks elusive Rose Run for Griffin
2. #7 Catman Running 8-1: Openly rooting for Reed to land Derby slot 5th
A. #4 Cowtown Cat 5-2: Pletcher 3rd stringer lands here; Gotham was odd race WON
B. #1 Sacrifice Bunt 12-1: Mott Lunsford colt saves ground; improving 4th

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #3 Reporting for Duty 15-1: May be right price inclusion here; race behind Ketchikan an eyecatcher 2nd

EX: $58.60


OAKLAWN


8th: 42nd Apple Blossom (Gr. I), F&M-4+, 8.5f (.10 Super, P4)

Taking stand against Round Pond (gives weight, loses ground) in selections but probably need to cover her in multi race wagers given her love of the oval..

1. #5 Take D'Tour 9-2: Fawkes doesn't make trip if she's not ready 2nd
2. #4 Ermine 5-2: Werner Gr. II winner underlaid but likes OP/trip WON
A. #3 India 9-2: Pletcher Hennessy red on stakes roll; prepped here
B. #2 Rahy's Appeal 10-1: Price inviting on Bush mare firing bullets

EX: $20.10


10th: 61st Oaklawn Handicap (Gr. II), 4+, 9f (DD)

1. #5 Lawyer Ron 6-5: "Most likely winner"; perfect at Hot Springs; Edgar WON
2. #4 Papi Chullo 12-1: Sitting on a big effort; great value
A. #6 McCann's Mohave 4-1: On a nice run for likeable connections
B. #2 Jonesboro 6-1: Bounce back to Essex win takes them a long way


P4 Play:

8: 2-3-4-5-7
9: 5-6
10: 4-5
11: 5-6-7

5x2x2x3 = $60


SANTA ANITA


5th: 25th Portero Grande (Gr. II), 4+, 6.5f (DD, P3)

A great race spoiled by Bill Spawr's gutless scratching of Bordonero..

1. #4 Smokey Stover 1-1: Hard to go against new Gilchrist-Aleo star WON
2. #6 Sailor's Sunset 4-1: Polanco-Everest Gr. III winner capable on best
3. #3 Greg's Gold 8-5: '05 Crosby winner came back well from 18 mo. layoff 2nd

EX: $3.50


6th: 70th Santa Anity Derby (Gr. I), 3yo, 9f (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #5 LIQUIDITY 5-2: O'Neill bay best this strip; simply faster than any here 4th
2. #3 Bwana Bull 8-1: Hard to know what Hollendorfer has; forward moving though
A. #2 Sam P. 4-1: Blinker add curious; Ramon in to ride; has kept nice company 3rd
B. #9 Tiago 20-1: 'Team Giacomo' believes they've figured this PTap colt out WON

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #4 Boutrous 12-1: Pace scenario, Desormeaux and blinks give Dollase closer a shot: son of Forty Niner mare should love the added ground


7th: 27th: Providencia (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #3 Super Freaky 8-1: Take all the 8-1 you can on Smart Strike miss from 'Team Thor's Echo' WON
2. #4 Princess Iris 10-1: Great tab on import whose 1st N.A. was better than appears
A. #5 Silver Swallow 7-2: Underlaid but fast and a threat in grass bow
B. #10 Valbenny 5-2: Gr. III winner closes well; not killed by post

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #8 Macadamia 20-1: 'Nuts' for this one from slick Lobo


9th: 48th Arcadia (Gr. II), 4+, 1m-T (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #2 El Roblar 6-1: Respect Mandella and Mig big on cards like these 2nd
2. #7 Icy Atlantic 9-2: May slip on board and can adjust to cutback WON
A. #10 Willow O Wisp 4-1: Cohen will have to use early to get to turn 3rd
B. #9 Milk It Mick 7-2: Hasn't been same since '06 Kilroe win; 2nd off long break though

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #4 Hello Sunday 8-1: Expect improvement from Frankel import in 2nd North American try

EX: $50.20
TRI: $357.80



KEENELAND LATE P4


8th: 70th Lafayette, 3yo, 7f (P3, .10 Super)

1. #3 Izzie's Halo 3-1: Draws tough 7f post; saves ground but needs trip
2. #10 Prom Shoes 10-1: Fires going well and Raphy sees fit to ride
A. #7 Call Me Clash 8-1: Rose had choice of 2 Lake runners in this
B. #8 Out of Gwedda 5-2: Typical Pletcher entrant; can't use/can't toss

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ALERT: #11 Barkley Sound 15-1: Scott very good and looks ready for big effort


9th: 70th Ashland (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 8.5f (.10 Super)

1. #2 Mistical Plan 7-2: [i]O'Neill bay rarely runs a bad one; adjusts to pace[i]
2. #5 Octave 2-1: Best of rest behind top pick last time at New Orleans
A. #9 Silver Knockers 5-1: Zito filly a threat with return to one 2 back
B. #7 SCRATCH

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #1 Elitist 20-1: McGee bay can invade gimmicks with move forward


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 4
8: 1-6-7-8-10-11
9: 1-2-5-7
10: 4-5

1x6x4x2 = $48


Good luck! Enjoy the day..
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 04-08-2007 at 07:24 PM.
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