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Originally Posted by johnny pinwheel
they're won't be , someone will win impressively and the media will jump on the bandwagon. i'm predicting the fav will be about 3-1. but who wants the fave when its like bumper cars anyway. and i think the favorite wins that race like once every 7 or 8 years avg. unless theres truly a great horse the race is over rated. its a fun bet but some of the other derby card races are better for betting that day. as some other poster pointed out the best bets are the ones that come 2nd or 3rd. thats where the winner usually lands a good price and sometimes a bomb price. look for someone thats a little "short" or makes a big run but doesn't win. i rarely like the fave in that race but i did get burned by bellamy 2 years ago. he looked so good winning the wood. remember Gaucomo, i think hes won 1 race since. do folks really think hes good or or a horse that got a good trip on the right day ?
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Well, since Giacomo is retired now...
I'd say he was a good horse at picking up the pieces after everything in front of him fell apart. He also liked Churchill Downs. He finished 4th in the BCC this past October. Not too shabby...
I was also on the Bellamy Road bandwagon and (stubbornly) remain convinced that he had the talent to really be something. It's too bad he couldn't stay sound enough to run.