View Single Post
  #3  
Old 03-29-2007, 10:05 AM
brianwspencer's Avatar
brianwspencer brianwspencer is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 4,894
Default

That was another week where I just didn't care who went home. Any of those three should be going home in short order anyway, so it's just a matter of who goes which time.

Haley would need to perform like she did two weeks ago every week from here out to even stand the slightest chance of making the top few, and Phil would have to....well, Phil sucks so he'll be gone soon no matter what he does.

I was figuring out last night about how Sanjaya's luck will run out, if for no reason but the mathematical reasons behind it. It's easier for him to skate by in these weeks with ten performers, because it takes less votes to get by. That's why some of the bad people can survive what seems like far too many rounds. He'll have a problem when we get to seven performers or six, because now instead of needing, say 1.5 million votes to stick around, he will need 4 million votes. And then the next week he will need 6 million votes.

Obviously my numbers are just guesstimates, but you've got to remember that the people who are "voting for the worst" are already voting, their numbers are not going to grow exponentially over the next few weeks. While their votes (coupled with the little girls who actually like the kid) are enough to get him by now, they won't be enough to get him by when those total 30-35 million votes are only being split between five or six people.

So that is why I'm not worried about him, because while he may not leave in the order he should have left in, he won't win. Everyone who left wasn't going to win anyway, so it's really all irrelevant when they leave, just so long as they do.
Reply With Quote