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Originally Posted by miraja2
The bottom line is that 10 out of the last 13 years a horse has won two out of three. One of these years - either because of a particularly talented colt, or a good colt in a particularly weak crop - it will happen.
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You would think... yet this exact situation applied in '04 and '05 and (unfortunately) circumstance prevented either of occurring. SJ and AA were so much better than any of their generation yet they missed by a combined 2 lengths.
In '97, the opportunity was there with an outstanding colt but there were several others nearly equally talented; in '98, same deal.
It'll happen within the next 10 years... but it will require quite a bit of luck as well as talent.