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Originally Posted by sumitas
very few horses win the derby from well off the pace. it has been done, Unbridled was one, but it is rare. most derby winners are within 3 lengths of the lead on the first turn. this is not a favorable scenario for CQ.
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I think that is already changing and will continue to do so as the trend to send frontrunning sprinters to the Derby if they can get the graded earnings continues. If it keeps up as it is I think it will become extremely difficult to win the Derby if you are within 3 lengths of the speed duel at first call. Even Barbaro was four lengths back at the first call.