I think steve said it best with his coined phrase. FLOP. Kinda like your damned if you do and damned if you don't. I often do the same thing with horses that have jockey switches. " I like the horse, but Prado was on last time, but he went to another horse today". When in doubt include them both and spend less time beating yourself up. In the end though, pletcher as one of the highest % trainers at 25%, still loses 3 out of 4. so hopefully the greater odds on betting against will make up for the ones you miss. The 'ol kinky handicapping, taking a step backwards to go 2 steps forward.


The "F.L.O.P."

Fear
Losing
Omitting
Pletcher)