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Old 03-17-2007, 08:57 AM
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Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Southland Greyhound Park
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Well for multirace plays you can't just leave out all favorites because you won't be right often enough because they win too much.

Certainly if you think he's worth the risk to play against it makes sense but I don't think you are going to get any bargain price on Any Given Saturday either, and I don't see any other likely win candidates.

There are many many races you can play each day with false, overly bet, heavy favorites. I guess I'm more inclined to play against those types and not this one considering what the horse has shown and the connections.
An overlay is an overlay, whether it's 10-1 or 8-5. I think AGS would be 3-5 to beat the field if Street Sense weren't in it, so by tossing him, I'm getting twice the fair odds in my opinion. Kinda like Lava Man in California. So many people are quick to try to beat him that he goes off more than even money and wins 8 straight.
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