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Old 03-12-2007, 03:05 PM
Antitrust32 Antitrust32 is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Ft Lauderdale
Posts: 9,413
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
i think there are two things wrong with this logic-

sample size doesn't give anyone a distinct advantage- the more races you include, the more accurate the results will be- but the sample size doesn't favor one side or the other. there will still only be one favorite in the other 750 races if you do a thousand and still be more than one 10-1 shot. . .

also, neither side has the advantage because there is more than one 10-1 shot in each race and only one favorite. . . both sides get all the long shots and the fave is the most likely winner. . .

not sure if that makes total sense but it does to me
ya that makes sense. but do you still get what i was trying to say with the other 10 paragraphs in this thread?

also regarding sample size, these 250 examples may be up in a few days of racing ya know? i think i would be more accurate using one month's worth or at least 3 weeks. but, the size is fine that was the original "bet" - (maybe something grits should have thought about before the rules were set )
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