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Originally Posted by randallscott35
Andy, again, I am a historian. I know what history says about numbers like that. I'm not going with a gut feeling here...And yes money is the name of the game. And trust me, I bet plenty when I have an opinion. I completely agree that picking races without betting on them makes no sense....But betting against a horse like Street Sense for the rest of his career will make you money...Playing against SNS in that GP race was the right thing to do. Leaving him out of every trifecta was the right thing to do....Did I win on the race? Nope, had the tri wrong...But it doesn't change the fact that when you take stands, the money has a higher likelihood of coming your way.
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How will you make money betting against him? Removing one horse from the equation doesn't guarantee big paydays. If you don't get the rest of it right you may make nothing even if you were correct on Street Sense. Also if you are correct and he never comes close to that level again, the public will make corrections and the value of your opinion will get diluted over time.
The time to strike will be right away, his next race. Will you be going all in on Any Given Saturday? I'm curious how you're going to clean up on this "stand".