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Originally Posted by randallscott35
Let's do the data going forward. I want to have a fresh outlook on this and not expect the data to go in a certain direction.
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You just want to cheer for favorites to run up the track....
Either way, as long as the sample size is long enough (a whole meet), you should get a decent perspective on who is right....
Personally, if I understand this, Randall is saying that betting place is more worthwhile then playing an exacta, Grits is saying play the bomb with the chalk.
SPEAKING IN Natural odds, just plain Natural odds (10 horse race, each horse has a 10% change of winning) Randall wins this argument in a landside BUT I would have to break out some crazy algerbra to figure out the odds (using 30% as favorite winning as a national average)