[SCUDSBROTHER]

Originally Posted by pk4playa

I did my homework last night and here's what I came up with for the early pick 4 at Hollywood. I agree with most of your analysis. I'm going.

4/ALL/1,3,4,6,7,8,13/4,5. I think the 4 will be tough in the first. He will be odds on but my only question is why the drop to 40K. This horse was competitive with strait madains and 62,500 Mdn. Claimers (2nd both times). He should crush this field but I'm a little suspicious of the class drop. The owners also paid allot of money for this horse and are willing to part with him for 40K.

The Second is wide open- go all and hope for a price.

I see the third as wide open to. I like the three but I think there will be more speed to challenge him. I like a bunch of these and am going to place a bet on the 1. The 1 should be a nice price 10-1+. He is dropping from open strait madien to Cal Bred st madien and makes his 3rd start of his career and he has improved each time out.

The fourth like you said is loaded with speed. There are two horses that I love in this spot. Both were claimed last time out. The 5 was claimed by Mullins fo 20K and is stepping him up to 25. (Mullins is 33% off a claim). This horse can also close into a hot expected pace. The 4 was also claimed in his comeback race. He went wire to wire in his return and was claimed for 20K and is also stepping up. The 4 has tactical speed and does not need the lead to win. He's come off the pace before which will be important in this race filled with Speed. I'm also going to play the 4 to win as long as I can get 4-1.

So here's my plays.
4/ALL/1,3,4,6,7,8,13/4,5. = 98
Race 3- 10wp on 1
Race 4- 20 win on 4

Good luck.

I need to finish my homework when I get home. Goto cap the late pick 4 which looks pretty tough. Nice card tonight. They must want a double carryover. Look for some prices!

PLAYA,you picked the 4th exactly right.Still lose $60 huh? Gee Playa,you ,mean you didn't know Puype could get a 40k maiden claimer to improve enough to beat a straight maiden? What a joke.Hay,water,and Oats..LOL