Here is a side-by-side comparison with Steph Beattie and Todd Pletcher, comparing their win% and ROI in the three diffrent odds ranges.
4/1 OR LESS:
Beattie: 35% wins. $2.08 ROI
Pletcher: 32% wins. $1.73 ROI
BETWEEN 9/2 up to 10/1
Beattie: 17% wins. $2.37 ROI
Pletcher: 13% wins. $1.81 ROI
GREATER THAN 10/1
Beattie: 10% wins. $3.88 ROI
Pletcher: 5% wins. $1.58 ROI
Beattie wins all the win percentage categories between 3-to-5%. She also sweeps the ROI categories by 35 points, 56 points, and 230 points.
You'd see similar mis-matches with all the other big name move-up guys.
I just think it's pretty damn perverted, when you have to make the trainer the #1 factor in your handicapping--as you'd certainly have to do in certain low-profile ares of the country. That's not what handicapping horses should ever be about.
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