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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
As you can clearly see, the last 949 horses to run for this lady have produced a truly MIND-BOGGLING 21% profit on the betting dollar. When you consider the sample size and the profit...it's beyond remarkable..it's almost impossible.
And it's not like a few 70/1 shots made the ROI stats misleading. She shows a flat bet profit in all three ranges of odds. With short priced horses, with mid-priced horses, and with longshots. |
Great post, DrugS.
I would point out, though, that even though she shows a flat bet profit across the board, she is basically breaking even on the horses 4-1 or less. The 21% ROI is largely due to her success in bringing home the medium- and longshots. Making 4% ROI on the favs is fairly outstanding in its own right, considering there were over 500 starts in that group. I can only be wistful about adding in the 4-7% Pinnacle rebate to that ROI.
I thought the "under 11 days" fig was pretty amazing, too. Interesting that she does much better with the quick return or the longish layoff than with more "normal" spacing. That may be a function of the bettors giving those factors too much weight, at least where her horses are concerned.
Thanks for posting the data.
--Dunbar