I think it is WAY to early to start saying this year's crop of colts is no good. Are any of the colts ready to win the Derby right now? No, but usually most colts aren't this many weeks out. Many of these colts are far from their peak, and will be in better shape in May and June than they were in January or February. That is the nature of the game.
We haven't even seen Street Sense or Great Hunter yet.
Nobiz, Ravel, and Notional have all looked pretty good.
Horses like Any Given Saturday and Adore the Gold are largely unproven, but could develop.
I think it is about 500/1 that a filly wins the race.
|