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Old 02-21-2007, 09:38 PM
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Rootdog1 Rootdog1 is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: LexVegas
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yes sir my friend, I was thinking the same thing.

5) Amazing Blue looks very tough. I like El Falcon as well, but will obviously need to improve but could going two turns. Dart River looks like a speed type that will fade but he could be dangerous if allowed to stroll on the lead. Which could be the case unless Beyond Boundries guns for the lead. Forest Lair is interesting, not sure of how he will take to dirt but is bred for it. I am thinking of using Amazing Blue and El Falcon

6) Tough 5.5f Race. Celtic Fable looks best but there is a TON of speed in here. Fortunate Prohpet on the 1 week rest looks dangerous based on back figs, the BIG drop, and the cut back to 5.5f. Still not sure he is good enough but he will be gunning it. R Spring Affair looks like a contender on Speed figs, but these northen shippers from No-Name trainers usually dont produce. Still he looks like he could stalk, which is important in here. Her Red has only had 3 works for his comeback and Hess is only 9% with 90+ days away, so looks like he will need a race. Dixie's Ruler treated us very good when he came from off the pace at $16k to win at 25-1. He had an great work on the 18th and looks to be holding form, BUT I am not sure I like the cut back of 1f here and he is one of the few moving UP in class. Still, appealing pace play. Glitternmeporridge is interesting to me also at 8-1. Cut back from 6.5f and has speed but doesnt have to have the lead, but something tells me Dutrow had this guy messed up. Gryder is Koriner's go-to-guy and he is on the #1 - bad sign.
In the end, Celtic Fable is probably good enough to hold off the other speed and win, but it wont be easy. I think I will use Celtic Fable and Dixies Ruler, and maybe Fortunate Prophet. Use a backup ticket singling Celtic here and Amazing Blue in the 5th.

7) Yellow Sheet looks good here, as there will be pace for her to run at and both speed horses have a tendency to stop. Mullins wouldnt have shipped her to Gulfstream if she wasnt doing well, and she got beat bad but did break very slowly. But, you have to use either Kalookan Dancer or Perfect Rhyme in case Yellow doesnt get there in time. It is possible Mameselle Aries can sit off the speed and pick up the pieces when the speed backs up and Yellow doesnt get there in time, but I just am not sold she is good enough.

In the end going with Kalookan and Yellow.

8) Wide Open, and the first timers look cheap but have a ton of speed. Summer Jade cost $22k and is working well, and Aguirre hits at 14% and she is 20-1. Parinaz looks good as well at 12-1. Dropping after being away 5 months. Her first 3 races were good enough to win this, and she is working very well. Any Afternoon is cutting back from 7f and been drilling up a storm since her first race. Woth a play at 10-1. Cheryl's Sidekick is firster that looks like cheap speed and a cheaper trainer, but she has a string of very good works and looks fast and fit. Onenintyeight at 6-1 has been away 8 months and drops from MSW company, well bred and fast works so worth inlcuding. Chavez and Marlow hit at 33% together. Youaremyluckystar at 9/2 will get over played but looks like a decent horse, and Enriquez end here rather then the Tommy Town entry. Finally, Nobodywantsmud at 20-1 is a MUST use. Bet down to 15-1 in MSW company she just plan lost her head and stdied several times. She is quick and I love the switch to Pedroza.

Like 1 @ 20-1 / 2 @ 12-1 / 4 @ 10-1 / 5 @ 20-1 / 7 @ 6-1 / (maybe) 11 @ 9/2 / 12 @ 20-1
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