Golfer
There is a wide chasm of difference between having good opinions and turning them into real profits. Take the counter example, how many times have you left the track feeling like you had good opinions, where some won, and you don't feel like you capitalized on them as well as you should or could have? I would guess that most would answer somewhere around " frequently ". There is a substantial difference between having good opinions and putting them together in a way, at the windows, that profits genuinely from them. As one is going to have many more days of mediocre opinions/results than the opposite it is extraordinarily important to take advantage of the opportunities you get.
This is frankly why I consider it of the utmost importance to bet. Putting down opinions on paper, while perhaps a fun exercise, causes no pain, and it is only in the pain of losing that one will be forced to try and correct their mistakes. Learning to construct winning tickets ( whether it's exactas, triples, supers, doubles, Pick-3s, Pick-4s or Pick-6s ) is the true exercise that will teach you to at least have a chance to win. Learning to identify traps, or situations where spreading is necessary, can really only be exposed when you constantly cause yourself pain by making the wrong move. Consider it sort of a horseplayer's Pavlov's Dog exercise. Some people will continue to make the same mistakes forever, and these are the ones that have a basic inability to admit their own fallacies, but the ones who really want to win, and ultimately will have a chance to, are the ones that learn to adapt. You cannot learn to adapt without betting at least enough money to cause yourself some pain when you lose.
Another reason people prevent themselves from having a chance to win is exposed in this thread, and that is the immature notion that it's a contest of who's smarter, and the winner is the best handicapper. A horseplayer has to get over that as the best handicapper is rarely also the best horseplayer. And the best horseplayer is the one who wins the most money.....and that is what playing this game is REALLY about.
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