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Originally Posted by smartyalex
you're correct, the 9 post has won only once out of nineteen (.05%). But what might as well be stated is that the 4 post had only won three of thirty nine (.08%). Not all that much better.
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They ran a 9-runner stake for 3yo fillies at this track yesterday, at the same exact distance, and the Chester House filly breaking from post 9 won with complete authority.
While, having that far outside draw with a short run to the first turn isn't ideal, the best horse should be able to overcome it.
HS was reportedly sick between this start and his last start---and, as I figured going in, he would be taken out of his game tactically today. Even with legit excuses like that, running off-the-board in a race like that is a letdown, when you consider all the hype surrounding this horse.