Couldn't agree more -- I was just responding to pgardn giving me a bit of friendly teasing because I picked Asmussen over O'Neill, and I was trying to say that I HADN'T chosen on the basis of the numbers game alone -- or I would have gone for Zito or Baffert.  Your point about Matz is actually what I was thinking to myself when I was looking at all the trainers with one big shot -- like Tagg again this year.  I am just not astute enough to be able to pick the Derby winner (and thus his trainer) in February -- nor on the first Saturday of May for that matter!  Last time I succeeded in doing that was when Smarty Jones won! 
		
	
		
		
		
		
		
		
		
		
		
	
		
		
	
	
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