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Originally Posted by MLC
So if a dosage # is subject to change due to a reclassification, how accurate is it really?
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I would say probably not all that accurate in today's thoroughbred...
I look more at the dosage points than I do at the dosage index. I wish I could remember the amount of points they look for in the classic category, but I think they look for (at the very least) 18 total points with the majority of those points being in the center and to the left of the center. For example, here is Barbaro's dosage profile:
DP = 14-8-21-2-1 (46) DI = 2.41 CD = 0.70
His pedigree SCREAMED distance with having 21 points in the classic category. All of this is just another derby angle, but I've had some good luck by at least considering this and tossing the horses that I feel have no business trying to get a distance of ground. (Not always accurate, but a way of filtering contenders.)