View Single Post
  #9  
Old 02-12-2007, 01:08 PM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt
I don't think it would be going out on too much of a limb to say that your Kentucky Derby 133 winner is on this list. I have no idea why folks would bet the all other 3YO's line.
Here are some reasons for you:

1. On average, about half the Derby field will be made up of horses not on that list.

2. Summer Doldrums is not on that list

3. More than 400 other Derby nominees are not on that list. Isn't it possible, dare I say likely, that a few of them will show some Derby-worthy talent in the next few weeks? It costs $600 to nominate a horse for the Derby; therefore many of these owners must be at least ready to go forward if their horse jumps up and shines.

4. In the 8 previous renditions of Pool 1 of the Future Wager, the Derby winner was not on the list 3 times. I don't see how this year's list is more impressive than each of those other years.


Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35
If the odds were better, I would. But not at 5/2.
If the odds were worse, I still would have. Down to maybe 9-5. At 5-2, I feel like I've been given a gift. I doubt I'll make a better horse bet this year.

--Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote