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Originally Posted by horseofcourse
Beyer wise if you discount his Ack Ack his first race back after 7 months off, his last 4 races average 104...discovery, clark, donn, queens county. No figure for Dubai World Cub but I would assume around 100 or so for that effort. Not that figures mean everything, but looking at the PPs, the only horse clearly better than him in this field is Invasor in my opinion. The rest are very debatable. Accomplishment wise, figure wise he seems to me to clearly be the 2nd best horse in the field. I can't discount his Queens County figure as his last two races his 3 yr old year he ran 106s which makes the 110 for the qns cty seem very realistic to me, bias or not.
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He set an uncontested pace in the Queens County. :24 :48 1:12 1:37 through a mile. When a runner can set a pace that he or she is well within ability to handle, they will be able to finish in optimal time.
If you workout and either run outside or on a treadmill ,test yourself at different paces. Try fast early ,then next time go slow early. After running a 7 or 8 minute mile you might be puffing hard. I know I am. If I run a 9 or 10 minute mile I can easily sprint a half mile in 4 minutes. If I run an 8 minute mile, it's much more difficult to maintain that pace.
I think the same thing applys to horses. Easy maintainable rate of speed will result in maximum performance. Faster earlier rates will result in fatigue and deceleration of speed as distance increases.