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Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Exactly, he cruised on the lead on the inner, in a six horse field at an unusual distance. I don't trust the figure at all and expect he'll run back like he usually does.
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If you haven't read Picking Winners and Beyer on Speed, you are doing your self a disservice. Both books are well written and they are entertaining. Beyer explains exactly how the figures are made. Once you understand the logic in how the figs are made, it's a lot easier to discard races which you disagree with. The numbers are only a measure of final race time and when sometimes projections involved in formulating the figs. That's why it is wise to save charts from the circuit you follow and keep tabs on how horses run going forward. Unstanding how the figs helped me a great deal in handicapping races.