Quote:
|
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
In the grand scheme of things he's obviously an extremely talented horse but against top competition I think he's severely lacking. He ran a few solid races right after Pletcher took over his training, hardly a surprise, but right now I think the best he could hope for would be dominating lessers as he did last time.
To me he has a very insignificant chance tomorrow and certainly less than his odds.
I also will be surprised if he runs more than three more races in his career.
|
Beyer wise if you discount his Ack Ack his first race back after 7 months off, his last 4 races average 104...discovery, clark, donn, queens county. No figure for Dubai World Cub but I would assume around 100 or so for that effort. Not that figures mean everything, but looking at the PPs, the only horse clearly better than him in this field is Invasor in my opinion. The rest are very debatable. Accomplishment wise, figure wise he seems to me to clearly be the 2nd best horse in the field. I can't discount his Queens County figure as his last two races his 3 yr old year he ran 106s which makes the 110 for the qns cty seem very realistic to me, bias or not.