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Originally Posted by brianwspencer
but the point is that i think most of this is moot, because you're relying on the horse of the year -- coming off a win off a huge layoff, losing against a decidedly grade II field, off a layoff again?
i won't be betting tomorrow because i'll be at work, but you can believe that i'd be crafting every single play around invasor tomorrow.
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It's sort of two different discussions....opinions on the races versus creating value.
I agree with Scav that if you like Strong Contender you are better off playing the Pick-3 using both NoBiz and Scat Daddy and then some weighted spread in the turf race as he mathematically rates to be a better price in the Pick-3 if for no other reason than the dispersed takeout.