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Old 02-02-2007, 11:43 PM
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brianwspencer brianwspencer is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 4,894
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
OK, lets go about it like this, NoBiz/Royale/Invasor will pay 2.50 for every $1 probably in the pick threes.

NoBiz/Royale/SC will probably pay 10 for $1(I consider this on the low end, I should get about $20 per $1 on this I gather given that people are giong to play Chatian/MG in this race also)

NOW, if either Biz or Roy run 2nd, and I catch the winner, that ticket grows to $100 per $1 and possibly $200 per $1, because SO MANY tickets will have them, and not spreading. If you beat Biz or Roy and Invasor still wins, it might pay $5 per $1......
but the point is that i think most of this is moot, because you're relying on the horse of the year -- coming off a win off a huge layoff, losing against a decidedly grade II field, off a layoff again?

i won't be betting tomorrow because i'll be at work, but you can believe that i'd be crafting every single play around invasor tomorrow.
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