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Originally Posted by brianwspencer
1.) i bet more then 85% of the public has invasor on their ticket. those trying to leave him off completely are just stabbing at huge payoffs, not legitimately capping the races. going more than one deep? maaaaaaaaybe. leaving him off totally? dead money anyway because those guys aren't going to hit the other races
2.) I haven't seen the TG sheets....Magna is really faster than Invasor?!
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What I am doing is playing a ticket like this, probably 5x4xStrong Contender. There is SERIOUS value on SC in the pick three's, maybe 20/1 or 30/1 in the pick threes, becuase everyone will be singling Invasor. All i will need to do is win the other two races, and I am fairly confident that I can get there, a $20 win wager on SC will get you back $120, but this ticket could yield at a minimum of $300 if I get there, and possibly as much as 1 or 2k if a bomb runs in the 1st or 2nd leg.....worth a $20 investment, possible a $100 investment because I have a feeling that SC runs his rear end off tomorrow, especially given that Ward can't blame post or anything else as he is locked and loaded from that area, there is a ton of speed so getting hung wide isn't going to happen. THEN I can unload against him when Ward tries to get tricky and ship him West off only a 30 day layoff and a huge effort