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Originally Posted by 1st_Saturday_in_May
Screw Showing Up. Maybe he takes to the turf, but odds are he's gonna find traffic breaking from the rail with 13 horses outside of him. In a 14 horse field on the turf, the last thing I'm going to do is take a horse at 9/5 ... 4/1 maybe but no thanks at 9/5 especially when he hasnt ran on the damn surface yet. Maybe everyone's "anoymous buddies" will be right and he is a freak on the grass, but I'll bet against that. I havent capped the race yet, but I like the Pletcher horse, the Live Oak horse, the French connection, and Lewis Michael - he seems to have turned a corner. Not sure if this is a betting race for me or not, but the payoffs should be great!
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I agree. I won't begin handicapping in earnest for a couple of days but with the size of the field I'm fully expecting to find some decent value and won't be taking any low odds on this one.