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Originally Posted by ArlJim78
So you will bet against Showing Up even though you suspect that he will beat up on the horses he is racing against. May I ask why? Is this your regular handicapping/wagering strategy?
I also find this next part fascinating.
You talked to "a guy" who knows "some people" and "most" think he is better on grass and "one guy" said he is a "freak" on the grass. This seems like a rather tenuous link for inside information deemed worthy of posting. I also find it odd that so many people would have such strong opinions about SU on the grass before he even has raced on the grass a single time. How do you earn the title of being a "freak" on the grass with no grass races?
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I read the following and called my friend who bred a horse that Tagg now has in his barn and he told me that one of the "guys" at Belmont said he is tremendous on the turf. I plan on betting against him if he is a short price, but only because I question how far he can go. If he were 4-1 I would take a chance he could go the distance, but not at 8-5. My handicapping strategy is based strictly on value.
"He loved it,'' Robin Smullen, assistant to trainer Barclay Tagg said when asked how Showing Up handled the turf. "He just has a completely different stride on the turf than on dirt.''
Smullen said that exercise rider Simon Harris "said the horse doesn't pound the turf, whereas he pounds the dirt. He's got high action on dirt, he doesn't have any high action on turf.''