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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Well, I don't know enough about the Thorograph numbers to comment on his future numbers, but I prefer good horses, like Street Sense, than slow ones and think all this " he ran too fast too soon " stuff makes absolutely no sense. Surely it's easier to pick one horse, even like Street Sense, and be right when he doesn't live up to expectations, and certainly his BC performance was enhanced by a perfect trip, but he still seems like a good horse. Just not as good, perhaps, as Nobizlikeshowbiz.
I think the problem is we haven't seen enough genuinely good horses in the past decade and too many doped up flashes in the pan. Ya know, Easy Goer ran a 116 Beyer fig in the Champagne and he turned out OK. Point Given ran some pretty good races as a 2YO and he turned out OK as well. While I'm sure they're the only ones at least they prove anything's possible.
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I agree but the call is for the rest of his career, as well as his entire 3 yr old season. If his thoro number is to be believed, it is the fastest 2 yr old number in the BC ever. That puts him in better than "good" category so if he's that good he'll show it....The early 3yr old number of Keyed Entry vs. FuSam last year ruined both....And Beyers are nice, but they aren't thoros, and a study done looking at negative numbers early in the 3yr old season last year on the thoro board was simply stunning when it looked at the what happens, not only up to the Derby, but the rest of the 3yr old season....The history of a number like Street Sense got is not very long so we'll have to see. Maybe he is the next Easy Goer. I hope so.