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Old 09-09-2025, 05:23 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,167
Default 9/10: Kentucky Downs (Day 7; D/G Oaks)

KENTUCKY DOWNS ~ CLOSING DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Call Me Precious 5-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Shane's the Brain 12-1 4th
Next Best: #15 Lit Ship 2-1 WON ($3.74)
Exotics Use: #8 Rockin Robin 6-1 3rd


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Buck O Five 20-1 11th
Next Best: #4 Blinging It Back 5-1 WON ($13.12)
Exotics Use: #5 The Standard 4-1 10th
Super Add: #10 Turbo Launch 8-1 6th


3rd: OC/Cond., F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Time to Dazzle 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Mischievous Gal 8-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Oeuvre 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #4 In Our Time 9-5 WON ($5.10)


4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5F (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Pineland 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Comes a Time 8-1 10th
Best Value: #4 Vesture 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 G T Five Hundred 6-1 2nd


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Lots of Kisses 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Queen Dancing 4-1 8th
Best Value: #2 Rethink 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Lucy McGee 6-1 6th


P5 Grid:

1: 3-6 (A), 8-15 (B), - (C)
2: 4-8 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
3: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 5-8 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
5: 2-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x2x3 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x2x1x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (4 in 4th)


P4 Grid:

2: 4-8 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
3: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 5-8 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
5: 2-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Day's toughest group to decipher..

Best Value: #4 Domingo 8-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Tom Collins 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 After Taxes 7-2 7th
Super Add: #2 Anmer Hall 6-1 WON ($9.68)


7th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Whatever 12-1: Half to millionaire Oeuvre who runs in 3rd.. 9th
Next Best: #4 Fulleffort 5-2 WON ($3.84)
Exotics Use: #7 Diamondlanejimmy Late SCR
Super Add: #12 Hardtoblame 15-1 10th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Surf City 20-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Pancake House 9-2 10th
Exotics Use: #2 Dominican Pioneer 6-1 9th
Super Add: #6 Calycanthus 8-1 8th


P5 Grid:

4: 5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 10 (A), 7 (B), 2 (C)
6: 4-8-10 (A), 2-7-9 (B), - (C)
7: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2 in 5th)


9th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Big Blue Line 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Signator 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Green Light 8-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Nineleventurbo 5-1 2nd


10th: Dueling Grounds Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 12.5f (DD)

Fionn is the horse to beat, but Totally Justified is within range and do you really want to doubt Rusty here??

Best Value: #11 Totally Justified 15-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Fionn 2-1 WON ($6.92)
Exotics Use: #2 Destino d'Oro 9-2 6th
Super Add: #1 Daisy Flyer 6-1 11th


11th: MSW, 3+, 1m (Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Abuelo 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Western Run Gate SCR
Exotics Use: #2 Vivaldi 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Thunder Roll 8-1 5th


P5 Grid:

7: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-3 (A), 7-8-14 (B), - (C)
10: 7 (A), 11 (B), 1-2 (C)
11: 2-4/SCR-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x2x4 = 240 x .50 = $120
All A's: 2x3x2x1x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAACA): 2x3x2x1x4 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-2 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

8: 4-9-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-3 (A), 7-8-14 (B), - (C)
10: 7-11 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
11: 2-3-4/SCR-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x2x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AACA): 3x2x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-2 in 10th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-11-2025 at 02:55 AM.
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