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Old 08-16-2025, 06:39 AM
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Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,134
Default 8/16: Saratoga (6th-12th); Woodbine (7th-13th); Cross Country P5

MTH-WO-SAR CROSS COUNTRY P5


MONMOUTH 5th (2:51pm): Iselin (G3), 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 First Mission 1-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Surface to Air 9-2 WON ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Repo Rocks 6-1 3rd


Cross Country P5 Grid:

MTH 5: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
WO 7: 3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
WO 8: 4-6 (A), 1-5 (B), 3-7 (C)
WO 9: 7-10-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
SAR 10: 1-2-6 (A), 3-4-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x4x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 1x2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-7 in WO 8)



SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Keto Drink 5-2: Found best stride late in debut.. 4th
Next Best: #7 Sadie Earp 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 In Her Glory 8-1 WON ($17.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Bibi Dahl 4-1 3rd


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hero Declared 5-2: Proverbial talking horse working sharply for bow.. 2nd
Next Best: #5 It's Our Time 9-2 WON ($12.00)
Best Value: #8 Tiger Rocket 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Cost Effective 8-1 6th


8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Very difficult read with several in for the tag..

Most Likely: #4 Cicciobello 9-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Palace Boss 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Aggregation 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Crimson Light 6-1 9th


9th: Skidmore, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Bobrovsky 6-1: Speed galore and plenty of green on his page.. WON ($9.40)
Best Value: #3 Monster 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Spirit of New York 7-2 3rd


P4 Grid:

6: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-4-7-8 (A), 3-5-9 (B), (C)
9: 3-7 (A), 8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x7x3 = $42 ($21 for .50)
All A's: 2x1x4x2 = 16 x .50 = $8


10th: Alabama (G1), 3yo-F, 10f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Margie's Intention 8-1: Worktab play figures to get first run on La Cara under Irad.. 3rd
Next Best: #2 Good Cheer 8-5: By a Travers winner out of a daughter of Travers winner.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 La Cara 5-2: Won't be hard to spot and can certainly take them all the way.. 4th
Super Add: #3 Kinzie Queen 15-1: Underrated Greg Compton not here for the mineral water.. 6th


11th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Assertiveness 2-1: Way the horse to beat.. WON ($5.90)
Best Value: #6 Magni 20-1: Crafty Mitch Friedman offers sneaky improver.. 8th
Next Best: #7 Landman Friday 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Mo Go 9-2 6th


12th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #1 Spoken Bluntly 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 Not for Hire 3-1 10th
Exotics Use: #4 On the Ledge 6-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Pay the Juice 4-1 8th


P5 Grid:

8: 1-4 (A), 7-8 (B), (C)
9: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-2-6 (A), 3-4-5 (B), - (C)
11: 1 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
12: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x6x1x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6 in 11th)


P4 Grid:

9: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-2-6 (A), 3-4-5 (B), - (C)
11: 1 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
12: 1-2 (A), - (B), 4-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x3x1x2 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (AAACA): 3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-10 in 12th)



WOODBINE ~ 166th KING'S PLATE


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: E.P. Taylor (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (.20 Mandatory Pay P6, $5 K&Q's P3, DD, Swinger)

Most Likely: #4 She Feels Pretty 3-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #3 Diamond Rain 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Ready for Shirl 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Caitlinhergreatness 8-1 5th


$5 Kings & Queens P3 Grid:

7: 4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 7-10-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-3-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x3x4 = 12 x $5 = $60


8th: Bold Venture (G3), 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Swinger)

Best Value: #4 Ice Chocolat 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Simcoe 2-1 WON ($13.10)
Exotics Use: #5 Playmeatune 5-2 4th
Super Add: #1 Victory Achieved 4-1 2nd


9th: King's Plate-R, 3yo, 10f (.20 P5, P3, Swinger)

BEAT BYK ~ SATURDAY

Best Value: #7 Runaway Again 12-1: 1 of 3 Adena-bred contenders and authentic 'any kind' based on debut.. 10th
Next Best: #10 No Time 7-2: Rock solid Oaks winner guns for another Plate for Gary Barber.. 9th
Exotics Use: #12 Sedbury's Ghost 6-1 11th
Super Add: #2 William T 20-1 8th


10th: King Edward (G2), 3+, 1m-T (.20 P4, P3, DD, Swinger)

Best Value: #8 Gas Me Up 6-1 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #3 Cruden Bay 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Piper's Factor 8-1 7th
Super Add: #10 War Strategy 4-1 8th


11th: Soaring Free, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Two Out Hero 3-1 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #9 Argos 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Casson 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Mo Dodgy 10-1 9th


12th: OC/N2L, 3+, 7f (DD, Swinger)

Total grab bag..

Best Value: #10 Tutti Contenti 10-1 WON ($17.60)
Next Best: #6 Take Charge Sousi 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Awesome Rainbow 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Westminster 20-1 6th

$1 Exacta (10-6) Paid $74.55
$1 Trifecta (10-6-7) Paid $720.30



13th: OC/N1X, 3+, 7.5F-Inner (Mandatory Pay Hi-5, Swinger)

Most Likely: #3 JOURNEYMAN 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Monterey Bay 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Tiz Romantic 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Awesome Bourbon 4-1 WON ($6.60)
Super/Hi-5: #9 British Artillery 20-1 5th


P5 Grid:

9: 7-10-12 (A), - (B), 2-3-4 (C)
10: 3-8 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C)
11: 1-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 6-10 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
13: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x4x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAAA): 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-3-4 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

10: 3-8 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C)
11: 1-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 6-10 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
13: 1-3 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $38.40
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .40 = $9.60
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $9.60 (4-7 in 13th)

$0.40 Pick 4 (8-1-10-4) Paid $202.36


Let's get lucky!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-17-2025 at 04:01 AM.
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