Quote:
Originally Posted by moses
Italian Soirée paid $31.20 to win and $17.20 to place. That brings the totals to…
$48.00 wagered
$89.10 returned
For Saturday, my picks are:
Race 5. #7 Magical Ways, 8/1. This race just looks like a good betting race as most of the field is pretty evenly matched. Magical Ways’ turf form is muddied up as he’s switched back and forth between turf and dirt in his career. I think the pace will heat up in this one so I’m looking for Junior to get a ground saving trip in the back and then make one big run in the stretch.
Race 11. #4 Excellent Truth, 5/2. I want to try to beat She Feels Pretty here and while I prefer better odds than 5/2, I’ve just been really impressed with Excellent Truth. I thought she had a really bad trip in the Jenny Wiley in her first start here in the U.S. and she still nearly won. She had some milder trouble in the Just a Game and was still running strong at the end. I like both Chad horses but she’s got more tactical speed than stablemate Dynamic Pricing and I just trust Excellent Truth a bit more to work out the right trip for herself.
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With the 5th coming off the turf, I’m going to change my pick there. I don’t dislike Magical Ways but question the price he’ll be. Instead, I’m going to go with
#7 Society Man in Race 7. I thought that was a pretty good effort off the layoff last out. He’ll need to take a step forward from last race but I think he can do it and should get a much better pace setup today. At 8/1, he’s my pick, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see him go off higher than that as I expect Malarchuk and Drake’s Passage to take a lot of money.