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Originally Posted by theguarantee
I totally get anyone taking a shot against Cornucopian tomorrow all things considered, however I thought that debut was truly something.
I think he'll win tomorrow and then probably be more of a bet against in the Derby.
Also, not sure we got to see enough of Guarana to say for sure she was better sprinting, although I take your point there...ironically Beatbox started for Chad Brown who of all people started him out running on the dirt for a few starts and stretching him out. I wonder if those two had some soundness stuff going on, but both were pretty good.
I'm not really a breeding expert but I think the damside says stretching on the dirt should be just fine with the Phipps bred Pleasant Home/Distorted Humor in there.
I think that we see something similar to his debut where he runs the other speed into the ground, kicks clear and sets up the closers for underneath (same idea) - the ones you listed make sense but I think I'm going to try to get Monet's Magic underneath at a better price. This one's dam wasn't much but is pretty interestingly bred going further back. I thought this one was coming along well showing slow and steady improvement heading into the Southwest....had to be held up in a bit of traffic awkwardly when the real running began...finished up decently. Given that he didn't show any works until March and missed the Rebel it seems like pointing toward a race at Keeneland for Colebrook would make more sense. Perhaps it's as simple as a typical case of Derby Fever, but I just get the sense this is a particularly aggressive move by Colebrook making me think either they got something fixed and/or really think he's got another forward move in him.
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He is probably the best horse in the race so I’m not sure how I’ll be approaching it. There are too many questions for me to single him in a pick 4 or 5 sequence but I’m sure many will. I may end up singling Sandman and hoping for the best (despite him not being able to track down others in his most recent 2). The pace just might set up too perfectly for him.
I wouldn’t blame you for including a horse like Monet’s Magic. If cornucopian, coal battle, and sandman are the trifecta, it won’t pay much.