Best Bet: Race 10 #7 More Than Looks 7/2 - Just think hes the best horse in here with the most upside to boot. In particularly I think he was much better than Carl Spackler in the Hall of Fame last year. I guess we will see if hes ready but based on the works I watched I think he is and might be the only time to get a price you can stomach if he's as good as I think.
Best Value: Race 5 #9 Charming Jim 8/1 - I know this horse is a real plodder but i thought Castellano gave him a bit of a passive ride in the last and he also lost momentum in the stretch. He seemed to be tiring anyway so I'm not sure it mattered that much but I wanted to give him a chance to turn the tables on Judge Rules today. I also might be making up a bit of a story in my head but I don't think he really likes the dirt and ran so poorly in the two dirt races off the freshening I don't think he got much out of those...so I'm viewing today as almost a second off the layoff where I'm hoping hell be more fit late and improve, he'll obviously need to.
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