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Old 07-19-2024, 04:44 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,956
Default 7/19: Saratoga ~ Day 7 (Curlin)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 No Evidence 5-2: Joel w/ win early Vekoma o/o a fast dam.. 2nd
Next Best: #1 Governor Sam 8-5: Tangled with Ascot runner up Gabaldon.. WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #2 Gene and Jude SCR'D: Named for Chicago's legendary hot dog stand!
Exotics Use: #4 After Taxes 4-1: Early sire Kodiac from Wesley; Works a bit meh.. 4th


2nd: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 From Hello 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Dea Matrona 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Wings Like Eagles 7-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Unicorn Cake 10-1 8th


3rd: Curlin-R, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Unmatched Wisdom 4-5 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #4 Timeout 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Elephants Ear 12-1 5th


4th: CLM, 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Six Percent 8-1 WON ($15.80)
Next Best: #7 Skylander 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Yono 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Commandperformance 3-1 7th


5th: MCLM/$75k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (P6, P3, DD)

Many in for tag first time; All kind of ploddy..

Most Likely: #3 Positive Carry 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Day Away Late SCR
Next Best: #4 Capo Donna 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Big Beautiful Late SCR


P5 Grid:

1: 1-4 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
2: 3-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 1 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
4: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2/SCR-3 (A), 4-5/SCR (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x1x3x4 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4 in 3rd)


P4 Grid:

2: 3-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 1 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
4: 3-6-7 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
5: 2/SCR-3 (A), 4-5/SCR (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x5x4 = 60 x .50 = $30
All A's: 3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAA): 3x1x3x2 = 18 x .50 = $9 (4 in 3rd)


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Levine super with FTS and Joker On Fire (6-1) comes from a fast family. Works just OK. Chasing Colton chased Sanford winner Mo Plex..

Best Value: #5 Joker On Fire 6-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Chasing Colton 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Rocked Out 8-1 8th
Super Add: #7 The Toner 5-1 2nd


7th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Lots of in-and-outers..

Best Value: #8 Critical Threat 6-1 WON ($14.00)
Next Best: #5 Emerald Forest 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Lafitte's Fleet 9-2 4th
Super Add: #9 High Heat 12-1 8th


P4 Grid:

4: 3-6 (A), 7 (B), 1-8 (C)
5: 2/SCR-3 (A), 4-5/SCR (B), - (C)
6: 2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (CAAA): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-8 in 4th)


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Wow. Wildly competitive group. .

Best Value: #3 Cara's Time 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Princess Madison 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Roswell 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Sam's Treasure 7-2 4th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (DD)

Another dynamite ALW field with all kinds of interesting dynamics and enticing value prospects..

Best Value: #7 Determined Lily 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Child of the Moon 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Root Cause 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #4 Vino Rouge 5-2 3rd


10th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #4 Geopolitics 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Better Be Smart 12-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Heart of the Night 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Splashy 6-1 5th


P5 Grid:

6: 2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-8 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
9: 4-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4 (A), 9 (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 2x3x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (3-6 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

7: 5-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-8 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
9: 4-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4 (A), 9 (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (AAAAC): 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-6 in 10th)


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 07-19-2024 at 07:58 PM.
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