Originally Posted by Kasept
CHURCHILL DOWNS ~ FOSTER PREVIEW DAY
POST-SCRATCHES
3rd: OC/N1X, (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #2 Just Basking 5-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Under the Palms 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Standout Sensation 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Barbratina 5-2 WON ($8.80)
4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Best Value: #11 Bellofthebluegrass 8-1 6th
Next Best: #12 Bells Beach 7-2 WON ($6.54)
Exotics Use: #3 Soundbite 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Leaflet 15-1 9th
5th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, b1m (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #10 Tweetster 4-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Merasol Sugar 6-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Mink's Palace 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Simply Enchanting 6-1 2nd
6th: Arlington (G3), 4+, 8.5f-T (.20 Derby City 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #1 Ottoman Fleet 9-5 WON ($4.16)
Best Value: #3 Smokin' T 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Emmanuel 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Chasing the Crown 7-2 2nd
7th: Aristides, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #3 Skelly 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Tejano Twist 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Angkor 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Here Mi Song 6-1 4th
8th: Shawnee (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)
Most Likely: #7 Scylla 5-2 WON ($4.54)
Best Value: #9 Hidden Connection 12-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Bellamore 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Xigera 2-1 2nd
P5 Grid:
4: 3-11-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-3 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 7-9 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
P4 Grid:
5: 2-6-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-3 (A), 2-5-6 (B), - (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-7-9 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x5x1x5 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A's: 4x2x1x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
9th: Regret (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)
Might be the most interesting/difficult race of the day. Use any and all that you think have a look..
Best Value: #9 Pin Up Betty 15-1 WON ($15.30)
Next Best: #6 Buchu 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Way to Be Marie 3-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Everland 20-1 5th
10th: Blame (G3), 4+, 9f (DD, Hi-5)
With Uncle Jake, Classic Causeway & Five Star General all coming out having run Monday, pace picture morphs from hot to Frosted Departure getting loose. Cagliostro reached career top last time and needs to better that to win, but he's the nearest other speed and will get first run on the obvious players (Highland Falls, Tapit Trice, Dreamlike, War Campaign)..
Best Value: #9 Cagliostro 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Highland Falls 5-2 WON ($3.90)
Exotics Use: #5 Tapit Trice SCR
Super Add: #6 Dreamlike 4-1 3rd
11th: Audubon, 3yo, 9f-T (Hi-5)
Best Value: #9 Lagynos 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Cugino 7-2 WON ($7.34)
Exotics Use: #5 Formidable Man 5-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Nomos 8-1 8th
P5 Grid:
7: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-7-9 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
9: 6-9 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
10: 2-5/SCR-9 (A), - (B), 1-3-6-8-11 (C)
11: 2-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
Simple (A+B): 1x5x4x3x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 1x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 1x3x2x5x2 = 60 x .50 = $30 (1-3-6-8-11 in 10th)
P4 Grid:
8: 5-7-9 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
9: 6-9 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
10: 2-5/SCR-9 (A), - (B), 1-3-6-8-11 (C)
11: 2-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
Simple (A+B): 5x4x3x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACA): 3x2x5x2 = 60 x .50 = $30 (1-3-6-8-11 in 10th)
$0.50 Pick 4 (7-9-2/4/5/7/10-2) Paid $114.07 (A-A-A-A)
Good luck!
Steve
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