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Old 08-13-2023, 08:20 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,947
Default 8/13: Saratoga (Day 24; 4th-10th)

SARATOGA


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Really fun race. Lots of possibilities..

Best Value: #3 Spanish Doubloon 10-1 7th
Next Best: #4 City Fever 5-2 WON ($4.30)
Exotics Use: #7 Cumberland 6-1 6th
Super Add: #5 American Know How 5-1 2nd


5th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 9f-Inner (P6, P3, DD)

Weird group..

Best Value: #5 Escapologist 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1e Klaravich entry 2-1 WON ($6.30/DNF)
Exotics Use: #4 Operation Torch 6-5 3rd
Super Add: #2 Clever Thought 5-2 2nd


6th: MSW-R, 2yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Hmm.. Not much to take hold of from pedigree clues on the firsters and those that have run seem just OK..

Most Likely: #1 Crazy Cami 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Echo Lake 4-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Shimmering Allure 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Zadorsky 5-2 WON ($11.80)


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Another fun competitive set on a day that could be very chalky or totally volatile..

Most Likely: #2 Guntown 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Saint Tapit 9-2 8th
Next Best: #1 Vittorio 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Khozeiress 8-1 5th


P4 Grid:

4: 3-4-7 (A), 1-2-5-6/SCR-8 (B), - (C)
5: 1-5 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
6: 1-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x4x3x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (A-A-A-C): 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-4 in 7th)

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Wow.. An ALW that is worth every penny of the $150k purse..

Most Likely: #7 Magic Tap 5-2 WON ($8.80)
Next Best: #5 Film Star 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Whittington Park 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Dreamlike 3-1 5th


9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 H P Moon 3-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Shooters Shoot 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Candy Tycoon 4-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Sagamore Mischief 10-1 7th


10th: Mahony, 3yo, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #4 Uncashed 3-1 8th ~ Beat Byk & Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #10 Drew's Gold 7-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Private Creed 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 No Nay Hudson 6-1 4th


P5 Grid:

6: 1-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
8: 5-7-8 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
9: 1-6 (A), - (B), 4-7-8 (C)
10: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-C-A): 3x1x3x3x2 = 54 x .50 = $27


P4 Grid:

7: 2-4 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
8: 5-7-8 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
9: 1-6-8 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
10: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-C-A): 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-13-2023 at 06:48 PM.
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