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Old 07-29-2022, 10:47 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
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Day 12
Another day where I struggled with the card.

Best bet: Race 8- #5 Anaconda
This horse has teased with some big ability at times. His debut was strong, they tried him two turns, back to sprinting and then he was off for 13 months. His return this January was very good, then they stretched him back out where he ran a decent 3rd behind the eventual SF Mile winner. Went down the hill after that, got a very passive ride early and then put in a good late run. Another passive ride last time and again put in a decent run. Was a private purchase after his last and ends up in a very shrewd barn who adds blinkers. I think we see the good Anaconda today.

Longshot: Race 5- #7 Sebaray
I know Sweeping Giant towers over this field on paper but this seems like such a questionable drop. They paid $350k for him, he ran back to back seconds in his first two and then had trouble in a stake. Why show up today for 40k? I'm going with Sebaray. He ran much better first time in the Ray Handal barn than he had shown for Marya Montoya and was meant for turf that day. Plenty of grass pedigree on the dam side as she has produced a few turf winners including a stakes winner and stakes placed horse. Would like to see Dylan Davis aggressive early with him and should be a very fair price.
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