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Originally Posted by golfer
Scav, I just re-read your question.. I changed horses on you. Mostly is the horse that just 0-2-x'd.
No, Scav, what I'm referring to is that he has already 0-2-x'd... his last three races are 6 (top) 8, and then a troubled 15 (after being off 2 months). The way I see 0-2-x, is that now he is eligible to get back to the 0, which is his top of 6. When I see a horse with a top, and then a 2 pt backward move, I will predict an X, with varying results (I haven't actually kept track of this). The value of the next race after the x is potentially longer odds.
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Yeha I just saw that, it was the first post I read on the day and my eyes were just opening. Agree about the odds BUT I think in this case if you look at the thoro-pattern, Mostly is only 15% to at least pair that 6.75, he will probably improve that 15 from last time, but not enough to win, IMO. The beauty of handicapping.
FOR ANYONE that is new to THOROGRAPH, Mostly in race 1, #4, is a PERFECT example, IMO, of the 0-2=x theory...PERFECT