Originally Posted by UncleBenelli
The 9th race would have been the only race with sandwich opportunity,
It would have been a profitable trifecta, but the Ticket structure would have lossed. Most difficult aspect of building the ticket is correctly slotting the correct numbers,
Very High Probability that the ticket structure would have been,
3,11/1,5,?/all
question Mark on the 3rd horse in the two slot, as I did not handicap the races yesterday,
If Steve does not have a 5th horse to his selections, I insert what I call the Casper Pick. Since didnt cap, no idea who that Casper Horse would have been.
Possible that Casper could have been the 8, in which case then the ticket would have hit, twice!
Just an example, so that I can get criticized again, but I will call out a losing ticket due to wrong ticket structure, as I do not win all the time, and often times have left with ass in hand,. Its gamblling, sometimes it hits sometimes, you miss one on bad ticket structure, incorrect picks or flat dead ass wrong.
The key, is to select the races with highest probability of bombs ducking in,. How I tend to Identify that is through Steve's capping.
If he has two of 4 horses selected with short odds, I move on, as the large payout is really not probable and a waste of money to try.
However, when Steve has selections that have all healthy odds, then I see a large field, then the opportunities arise. I know he is never far off, and when he misses often times its a large price that squeezes him out.
After years of watching and observing his selections,
I took Mannys trifecta formula, Steve's handicapping, and Gordon Jones's, ticket structure through squares, circles and triangles (very similar to ABC).
I found very quickly for this to be a profitable approach. The key is the Casper selection. and then having the ticket structured correctly.
I have done this long enough and consistently enough to know, whether the ticket would have been correct.
The above 9th is that example
If Steve has,
Most Likely- #3
Next best - #6
best value - #9
Exotics - #1
Then I have to go in and find the Last Horse, Often times I just use the best probable price, if I am not with Manuel. The Casper Horse needs to be a price. or its no bet. finding that 5th horse is really important. Unless steve caps 5 usually seen as the Super add. So, most likely ticket structure would have been,
3,9/1,6, ?/all
For shorter bank roll or only targeting the bomb one can save on two tickets, by not utilizing the ALL button in the 3rd slot, this way it is only four tickets, except you will lose possibility of cashing it twice.
So lets say the Casper Horse was the #5,
4 tickets would be,
3,9/all/ 1,5,6
All/3,9/1,5,6
All/1,5,6/3,9
1,5,6/all/3,9
If you box it all the way, obviously you would have two more tickets added
In 3,9/1,5,6/All, and 1,5,6/3,9/all
Everyone have a fantastic Good Friday. As Good will make you better, and your better will become your best! that would equate to Best Bettor.
Good Luck all, may god bless your weekend!
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