[moses]

Well, my picks for Wednesday were awful. Hopefully today will be a little better.

Thursday, July 22

Best Bet: Race 7 - #6 Quantitativbreezin, 7/2 ML (Cox/Franco) This race is a bit intriguing. You've got Traffic Lane who ran in the Demoiselle last year now in for a tag for $16K. My Alluring Lady drops from the allowance ranks into a $16K claimer. I don’t trust either of them. You've also got a good amount of speed signed on and Traffic Lane, My Alluring Lady, and Cause to Dream add blinkers. I like Quantitativbreezin switching back to dirt, which I think is her preferred surface and Cox/Franco hitting at a 63% clip doesn't hurt (albeit in a small sample size). The pace worries me a bit but this track seemed to favor speed yesterday so I'll hope it continues today.

Best Value: Race 10 - #11 New York Supreme, 10/1 ML (Bush/Santana) The expected favorite in this one has a tendency to get stuck wide around the turn and drawing the 12th post does her no favors here. New York Supreme's race last year at Saratoga puts her in the ballpark with the rest of these. In that race, she never seemed to fully settle though she flashed some speed. She's now a year older and coming off a long layoff. So the question is if she has improved at all and whether she's ready to run. Unlike the favorite to the outside of her, I think she's got enough early speed to grab the lead and get good position and I'm not overly impressed with any of the other horses in this one.


Tally
Wagered: $8.00
Returned: $0.00