I'm starting to get a healthy dose of Derby Fever also. Only 19 days 7 hours 4 minutes and 11 seconds until post time but who's counting?
My only difficulty is coming up with a Derby Horse [caps are intentional]. Once I move past Essential Quality so many of them look very much the same in ability. Even EQ hasn't run numbers that are that impressive. I sort of feel that whoever makes the most progress over the next three weeks and likes the track the best and gets the best trip is your winner. In short it could be anyone. But I have some time to rethink this absurd opinion and come up with something a bit more rational or at least betable.
As to this Saturday I like your idea of remaining at Oaklawn. Just hope the two major races draw decent fields. I fear that not many will want to take on both Swiss Skydiver and Monomoy girl in the Apple Blossom but the matchup of those two will be fun to watch.