Let’s go with:
Best bet: Race 5 - #6 Constitutionalrage (10/1ML). A horse sired by Constitution out of a Tiznow mare and trained by Barclay Tagg. None of the other horses look like anything special and I like the pedigree and works here.
Longshot: Race 2 - #6 My First Grammy (8/1 ML). Key Stat: Mejia and Benji have won 100% of their starts together since August 29th. But really, this horse is talented enough that he was placed into the Florida Derby as a maiden. While he’s no Bodexpress, he’ll appreciate the class relief here. And while the drop in class is massive, this one was purchased for only $57,000 two years ago. That’s less suspicious to me than the class drop for the favorite Long Term Thinking or the $20,000 tag for Advance Notice, purchased for $350,000 two years ago. Maybe none of this means anything, but the figures alone at least put him in contention.
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