Quote:
Originally Posted by moses
Friday, August 21.
Best Bet. Race 1 - #6 Advanced Strategy (9/5 ML).
Longshot. Race 5 - #9 My Man Flintstone (5/1 ML).
Best bets: $28.00 wagered. $11.20 returned.
Longshots: $28.00 wagered. $18.80 returned.
Total: $56.00 wagered. $30.00 returned.
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I didn't have time last night but my thoughts on these two.
The
#6 Advanced Strategy was bet heavily in his turf debut and ran well in defeat. With the addition of Lasix, 2nd off the layoff, and the fact that Jim Jerkens sends him back to the turf, this horse looks primed to run big. I really think it's unlikely that #4 Striking Causeway will get an easy lead, as some may think. The #7 Silver Token got an aggressive ride up front last time out and that was his best race to date. You also have the #3 Our Destiny adding blinkers and the #5 Calibogee as a possible pace factor with Santana aboard and some decent looking works. All that leaves me landing on Advanced Strategy who should get a nice trip sitting off the pace and who is very likely to improve on his last.
The
#9 My Man Flintstone is a bit of a wildcard but at 5/1 in a race where I don't really like any of the other horses, I think it's worth it to take a shot on this one as he returns to the turf. He's very fast on multiple surfaces; just look back to his race back in May at Churchill where he was vanquished by Derby contender Art Collector. His pedigree indicates he might like turf so I'm willing to disregard his only turf try so far. There are not any blazing fast turf sprinters in here so he should be able to jump out to the lead and hopefully never look back. Aside from that, the only other longshot on the card that I feel really good about is the #1 Crock of Gold in Race 4 - a 2YO making his first start for a trainer that wins at a 2% clip with first time starters. So as much as that one intrigues me, I'd rather take a shot here.