8/11: Saratoga (Fourstardave; $50k C/O); Arlington (Million Day)
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Prognostication 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #8 Gosilently 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Bootlegger 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Lemonist 3-1 2nd
2nd: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #4 Chief Executive 5-2 5th (4th for wager)
Best Value: #6 Unionizer 10-1 WON ($19.40)
Next Best: #5 Preacher Marsee 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Southern Phantom 7-2 3rd/4th
3rd: ADK (G2), 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 Lyrical Lady 6-5 6th
Next Best: #5 Virginia Eloise 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Grandma Gertie 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Sue's Fortune 4-1 WON ($9.00)
4th: MSW, 2yo, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Teachable Moment 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Opry 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Winning Factor 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #14 Starting Point 5-2 5th
5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)
Fun group with plus mutuel look even if favored Unlockthepotential wins. Mesotherm (15-1) SCR'D is out of an unraced half sister of Wiseman's Ferry and has just enough sibling turf prowess to be an interesting use. Note that AE #11 Rapt (8-1) is dangerous if drawing in..
Most Likely: #13 Fifty 6th
Next Best: #7 Dr. Edgar SCR'D
Best Value: #9 Clutch Cargo 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Greek Alphabet WON ($7.10)
P5 Grid:
1: 6-8 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
2: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-5-8 (C)
3: 3-5 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
4: 3-8 (A), 2-14 (B), 5-7 (C)
5: 7/SCR-13 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
P4 Grid:
2: 4-6 (A), 5 (B), 1-8 (C)
3: 3-5 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-2 (C)
4: 3-8 (A), 2-14 (B), 5-7 (C)
5: 7/SCR-13 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x2 = $16 ($8 for .50)
6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)
$50k C/O starts here..
Most Likely: #7 Empire of War 5-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Road Home 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Network Effect 5-1 WON ($19.20)
Exotics Use: #8 A Thread of Blue 4-1 6th
7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (NYRA P5, G/S, P3, DD)
Best Value: #4 Majestic Won 6-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Munchkin Money 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 La Naturel 8-1 9th
Super Add: #2 Conquest Tizfire 9-2 11th
8th: Fourstardave (G1), 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #5 Heart to Heart 2-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Yoshida 3-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Voodoo Song 9-2 WON ($15.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Made You Look 4-1 4th
9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1 Patternrecognition 9-5 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #7 Spikes Shirl 8-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Breaking the Rules 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Phi Beta Express 5-1 2nd
10th: Lure, 4+, 8.5f-T
Most Likely: #3 Inspector Lynley 7-2 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #5 Mr. Cub 6-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Conquest Panthera 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Projected 5-2 2nd
11th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF
Most Likely: #7 I Like Your Style SCR
Best Value: #3 Adorable Song SCR
Next Best: #4 Super Mama SCR
Exotics Use: #1 Dancingwithdaffodls 5-1 2nd
P6 Grid:
6: 5-7 (A), - (B), 2-8 (C)
7: 4-9 (A), 2-5 (B), 8 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
9: 1 (A), 7 (B), 2-5 (C)
10: 3 (A), 5 (B), 1-7 (C)
11: 7 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x2x2x1 = 64 x $2 = $128
All A's: 2x2x2x1x1x1 = 8 x $2 = $16
P5 Grid:
7: 4-9 (A), 2-5 (B), 8 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
9: 1-7 (A), - (B), 2-3-5 (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C)
11: 3-7 (A), 1-4-5 (B), - (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x2x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
P4 Grid:
8: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), 2-3-4 (C)
9: 1-5-7 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C)
11: 3-7 (A), 1-4-5 (B), - (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x5x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
$0.50 Pick-4 (6/1/3/ALL) Paid $67.62 (All A's-$125.24; A/B's: $338.10)
ARLINGTON PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
8th: Bruce D. Memorial, 3yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD)
Best Value: #8 Nottoway 10-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Nobrag Justfact 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 The Tabulator 2-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Strollin the Bayou 5-1 6th
9th: Secretariat (G1), 3yo, 10f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #9 Analyze It 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Platinum Warrior 10-1 4th
Next Best: #13 Hunting Horn 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Sniper Kitten 12-1 10th
10th: Beverly D. (G1), F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)
Best Value: #1 Daddys Lil Darling 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Sistercharlie 9-5 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Dona Bruja 6-1 9th
Super Add: #7 Fourstar Crook 9-2 2nd
11th: Arlington Million (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)
Most Likely: #11 Oscar Performance 3-1 9th
Best Value: #5 Century Dream 12-1 4th-DQ'd from 3rd
Next Best: #3 Almanaar 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Robert Bruce 9-2 WON ($7.20)
12th: Pucker Up (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (Hi-5)
Best Value: #10 Secret Message 12-1 WON ($14.40)
Next Best: #13 Beyond Blame 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Cosmic Burst 4-1 7th
Super Add: #12 Smart Shot 15-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #7 Madame Milan 20-1 6th
P5 Grid:
8: 5-7-8 (A), - (B), 1-4-9 (C)
9: 9 (A), - (B), 2-6-10-13 (C)
10: 1-3-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 5-11 (A), 3 (B), 10 (C)
12: 10-13 (A), 4-12 (B), 2-6-7-9 (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x4x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
P4 Grid:
9: 9 (A), 2 (B), 6-10-13 (C)
10: 1-3-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-5-11 (A), - (B), 10 (C)
12: 4-10-13 (A), 2-7-12 (B), 6-9 (C)
Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x4x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Good luck!
Steve
__________________
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-11-2018 at 07:32 PM.
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