Quote:
Originally Posted by ontheoutside
lead him to a out of the money finish and he made move b4 the quarter pole you don't leave rail to go three wide at that point to concider it is well I wont say it
|
I don't understand your rationale. Please explain it to me. You are saying that if a jockey has plenty of horse turning into the stretch, you would rather have the jockey try to either split horses or come through on the rail than swing to the outside? That would be like walking up to your house and climbing through the window when the front door is wide open.
Of all the mistakes jockeys can make, that is my biggest pet peave. At the top of the stretch, a jockey has to be a fool to try to split horses or come through on the rail when he can just as easily swing to the outside. You lose practically no ground by swinging out. Assuming he has a ton of horse (more horse than the jocks in front of him), he will win over 95% of the time by going outside. If he tries to split horses or go through on the rail, he will probably only win 50-70% of the time. It's a no-brainer to go to the outside. They should do it every time. They shouldn't even think about it.