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Old 12-23-2006, 05:30 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Aside from firsters, the bigger the price the more you should bet.
You have to be careful with intepreting that statement. That sounds like you would always bet more on 20-1 horses than on 3-1 horses. I'd only do that if I thought my edge was something like 6 -7 times larger on the 20-1 horses than on the 3-1 horses, which is going to occur very rarely.

I'm pretty sure you are talking about how much you would bet on one horse once you've decide you like THAT horse. I'd agree with that; it makes sense to bet more on a particular choice, the higher the odds. But as a rule, as I'm sure you know, bets on 20-1 horses should be a lot less than bets on 3-1 horses.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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