7/23: Saratoga (CCA Oaks; $209k P6 C/O)
			 
			 
			
		
		
		
		Rollicking first Saturday of Saratoga had a bit of everything including thrilling Diana that saw popular Lady Eli win for the last time where she broke her maiden in 2014. Pletcher's Mr. Crow announced himself for the KRA in the opener Saturday, etching a 109 Beyer in the 3yo's second career start. The Korea Racing Authority buys many horses that ship out and run there, so it's great to have them campaigning domestically. Rare to get double digit value on Jason Servis runners, so Firenze Fire's upset of the Sanford provided a nice boost as a $27 winner. Hope everyone did well. Terrific wagering opportunities all day Sunday, punctuated by the $200k+ carryover in the torturous P6.. 
 
 
SARATOGA 
 
 
POST-SCRATCHES 
 
 
1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD) 
  
Best Value: #3 You People 6-1 5th 
Next Best: #5 Miss Mo Mentum 9-2 2nd 
Exotics Use: #11 Kitty Kat Kate 5-2 7th 
Super Add: #4 Orbolution 4-1 WON ($9.30) 
 
 
2nd: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD) 
 
Best Value: #4 Top Fortitude 9-2 4th 
Next Best: #7 Scarf It Down 7-2 2nd 
Exotics Use: #1 Aztec Sense 8-1 8th 
Super Add: #2 Tiz Shea D 3-1 3rd 
 
 
3rd: MSW, 3+, 9f (P3, DD) 
 
Most Likely: #2 Mr Classical 8-5 4th 
Next Best: #5 Uncle Mojo 3-1 WON ($7.20) 
Exotics Use: #3 Weather Wiz 5-2 2nd 
Super Add: #4 Fireball Shot 8-1 5th 
 
 
4th: S/ALW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD) 
 
Yeesh. What a hodge-podge.. 
 
Most Likely: #9 Driven West 9-2 9th 
Best Value: #10 Rapid Red 8-1 5th 
Next Best: #7 Bellows 10-1 3rd 
Exotics Use: #5 Cinderella El Chrome 20-1 2nd 
 
 
5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD) 
 
Best Value: #4 Seeking the Soul 10-1 WON ($20.00) 
Next Best: #1 Thebigfundamental 2-1 3rd 
Exotics Use: #5 Fifth Title 20-1 6th 
Super Add: #6 Goats Town 15-1 8th 
 
 
P5 Grid: 
 
1: 3-5 (A), 4-11 (B), 1-7 (C) 
2: 4-7 (A), 1-2 (B), 5-8 (C) 
3: 2-5 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C) 
4: 9-10 (A), - (B), 2-5-7 (C) 
5: 1-4 (A), - (B), 2-3-5-7-8 (C) 
 
Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x2x2 = 128 x .50 = $64 
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 
 
 
P4 Grid: 
 
2: 4-7 (A), 1-2 (B), 5-8 (C) 
3: 2-5 (A), 3 (B), 4 (C) 
4: 9-10 (A), - (B), 2-5-7 (C) 
5: 1-4-5 (A), 2-3-7 (B), 8 (C) 
 
Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50) 
 
 
6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD) 
 
$209k P6 C/O starts here.. 
 
Start of DBL C/O P6 sequence and a potentially explosive spot. Short Kakes should be on an isolated lead and has potential to wire. Thrice goes first off the Weaver claim but loses Irad to Rudy (Cha Cha Heels). War Canoe (8-1) & Cap's Vow (10-1) separated a length in similar spot downstate and will be arriving on scene late. Questeq (12-1) returns to level of diploma and gets Castellano back too. Weekend Hottie (20-1) finally broke MDN after 20 tries and not unusual for these types to keep winning once they get their picture taken.. 
 
Best Value: #6 Short Kakes 20-1 5th 
Next Best: #5 Thrice 7-2 WON ($7.70) 
Exotics Use: #10 Cap's Vow 10-1 7th 
Super Add: #3 Weekend Hottie 20-1 8th 
 
 
7th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD) 
 
Most Likely: #4 Honor Way 3-1 2nd 
Best Value: #8 Star Studded 20-1 8th 
Next Best: #6 Nisha 7-2 3rd 
Exotics Use: #1 She's Had Enough 20-1 12th 
 
 
8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD) 
 
Most Likely: #5 Alabama Bound 12-1 3rd 
Next Best: #7 Sweet August Lady 3-1 4th 
Best Value: #11 Somerset Sandy 20-1 WON ($43.80) 
Exotics Use: #9 Bree's Got Heart 8-1 11th 
 
 
9th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD) 
 
Best Value: #7 Nite Delite 6-1 5th 
Next Best: #3 Animal Appeal 9-2 7th 
Exotics Use: #12 Ginger N Rye 8-1 WON ($24.00) 
Super Add: #10 Rumble Doll 12-1 3rd 
 
 
10th: CCA Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (DD) 
 
Fascinating edition of this famed filly event with top two - Abel Tasman & Salty - rematching out of the Acorn thriller where Mike Smith pulled a rail rabbit out of his hat. Elate making case as the clever play coming out of preposterous DEL stake win, but it's Daddys Lil Darling that may be cute price key returning to dirt off excellent try in the Belmont Oaks 2 weeks ago.. 
 
Best Value: #3 Daddys Lil Darling 9-2 5th 
Next Best: #2 Abel Tasman 8-5 WON ($3.60) 
Exotics Use: #1 Elate 5-1 2nd 
Super Add: #7 Salty 5-2 3rd 
 
 
11th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 1m-IT 
 
Most Likely: #10 Starstruck Kitten 6-1 6th 
Best Value: #2 Harlan's Vador 30-1 8th 
Next Best: #11 Prognostication 3-1 3rd 
Exotics Use: #12 Major Force 15-1 WON ($13.60) 
 
 
P6 Grid: 
 
6: 5-6 (A), 10 (B), 2-3 (C) 
7: 4 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C) 
8: 5 (A), 7 (B), 9-11 (C) 
9: 3-7-12 (A), - (B), 6-9-10 (C) 
10: 2-3 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C) 
11: 2-10 (A), 11-12 (B), 1-6 (C) 
 
Simple (A+B): 3x1x2x3x2x4 = 144 x $2 = $288 
All A's: 2x1x1x3x2x2 = 24 x $2 = $48  
 
 
P5 Grid: 
 
7: 4 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C) 
8: 5-7 (A), - (B), 9-11 (C) 
9: 3-7-12 (A), - (B), 6-9-10 (C) 
10: 2-3 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C) 
11: 2-10 (A), 11-12 (B), 1-6 (C) 
 
Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 
All A's: 1x2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12  
 
 
P4 Grid: 
 
8: 5-7 (A), 11 (B), 1-9 (C) 
9: 3-7-12 (A), - (B), 6-9-10 (C) 
10: 2-3 (A), 1-7 (B), 1-7 (C) 
11: 2-10 (A), 11-12 (B), 1-6 (C) 
 
Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50) 
 
$0.50 Pick-4 (11/12/2/12) Paid $2,941.25 
 
 
Good luck! 
Steve 
		
	
		
		
		
		
		
		
			
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				Last edited by Kasept : 07-23-2017 at 07:15 PM.
				
				
			
		
		
	
		
		
	
	
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