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Originally Posted by SentToStud
You state, " ... The 2nd way is to realize that there is only a small chance the Dems would win with Hillary as the nominee,..." as if that is fact. I don't think that's necessarily true. If you think that way, maybe the way to go is to sit out the bet until the candidates are nominated then, if the Dems did nom Hillary, bet against her. If she got the nom, I'd bet the opening ine would put her at +120 at most. I agree it's bad to tie up $$ for two years on this.
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You're right that I should have made it clearer that it was an opinion. And it's certainly possible that Bush could become so unpopular in the next 2 years that any Democrat, even Hillary, would have an advantage. Still, it appears to me that Hillary has too many things going against her to win the Presidency.
I would gladly bet you that the line, if Hillary gets the nom, is greater than +120. Having said that, I think the biggest edge is probably simply betting that she does not get the nom.
btw, I don't want this to slip into personal politics, but I have nothing at all against either Clinton.
--Dunbar