Quote:
Originally Posted by UncleBenelli
I have seen on multiple threads many people voice the opinion that this is a wide open derby. Even to the extent of the most wide open that many can recall. Which would be evident in the current predicted odds having the favorite around 5 or 6 to 1. However, most all of the expert handicappers appear to agree across the board on a small handful of horses. The few exceptions is each persons stab at 1 potential long shot, and there is very little consensus and that particular stab.
So if it really is the wide open race that so many claim, why are most picking the same 4 horses?
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Like last year, as I'm alluding to above, it isn't necessarily that 'wide open'. Derby is always going to have a highly contentious look, but as the 2016 result demonstrated, that doesn't mean it's prudent to abandon the horses that are the most likely. Identify the horse(s) you think have the best chance and feather in the players that can impact (or even upset).
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